Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.064679 0.072965 0.081441 0.090729 0.100593 0.110728 0.121902
2025-07-27 0.053019 0.065542 0.078976 0.094324 0.111240 0.129201 0.149597
2025-08-03 0.043715 0.058618 0.075273 0.094945 0.117258 0.141520 0.169650
2025-08-10 0.037102 0.053590 0.072693 0.095901 0.122835 0.152671 0.187811
2025-08-17 0.031289 0.048690 0.069572 0.095613 0.126461 0.161189 0.202637
2025-08-24 0.025041 0.042475 0.064237 0.092142 0.125904 0.164532 0.211236
2025-08-31 0.020288 0.037602 0.060074 0.089659 0.126147 0.168498 0.220285
2025-09-07 0.017388 0.034880 0.058364 0.089958 0.129530 0.175977 0.233270
2025-09-14 0.015364 0.033155 0.057772 0.091515 0.134328 0.185045 0.248047
2025-09-21 0.014430 0.032931 0.059114 0.095493 0.142076 0.197615 0.266946
2025-09-28 0.012693 0.031255 0.058321 0.096585 0.146150 0.205721 0.280532
2025-10-05 0.013125 0.033092 0.062471 0.104221 0.158485 0.223856 0.306093
2025-10-12 0.010411 0.029550 0.058991 0.101865 0.158471 0.227397 0.314795
2025-10-19 0.009549 0.029115 0.059999 0.105593 0.166311 0.240669 0.335352
2025-10-26 0.008052 0.027298 0.058819 0.106239 0.170128 0.248973 0.349928
2025-11-02 0.006830 0.025788 0.057973 0.107255 0.174361 0.257753 0.365063
2025-11-09 0.005521 0.023831 0.056271 0.106948 0.176773 0.264207 0.377328
2025-11-16 0.003871 0.020659 0.052342 0.103246 0.174522 0.264685 0.382172
2025-11-23 0.002691 0.018156 0.049265 0.100595 0.173535 0.266651 0.388758
2025-11-30 0.002074 0.016924 0.048251 0.100915 0.176511 0.273616 0.401497
2025-12-07 0.001689 0.016245 0.048153 0.102576 0.181300 0.282892 0.417107
2025-12-14 0.001586 0.016493 0.049744 0.106820 0.189657 0.296773 0.438480
2025-12-21 0.001237 0.015703 0.049352 0.107983 0.193739 0.305143 0.452985